With only ten days to go, we will soon witness the first presidential election of 2024 with the Iowa caucus.
And according to CNN – yes, CNN – Donald Trump is absolutely killing it.
The Daily Caller reported, “CNN Data Reporter: Trump Has CNN senior reporter Harry Enten said Thursday that former President Donald Trump had the strongest polling numbers in the history of the Iowa caucus.”
The numbers must be discouraging for the campaigns of challengers Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis, both of whom are counting on strong showings in early states.
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“How big is Trump’s lead”
The article noted: “Trump currently leads Republican candidates in New Hampshire and Iowa, with 46% and 51%, respectively, according to RealClearPolitics. Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley trails Trump by 24.8% and 16%, respectively, in the two states.
Harry Enten emphasized the strength of Trump’s numbers in Iowa:
“That’s a huge advance!” Enten exclaimed. “I’m going to show the trend line from the Des Moines Register poll, which is the first poll in this state. And what you see here is that Donald Trump has only gotten stronger. It was at 43% in October. Look where he is now. More than a majority, more than 50%, a majority at 51%. And you see Ron DeSantis within the margin of error where he was in October. Look at Nikki Haley, she’s stable. This was an advantage of more than 30 points, with Trump receiving the majority of votes. And I want to put this in historical context for you. How big is Trump’s lead. These are people who have voted 45% or more in Iowa at this point. All this before Trump won the caucuses. Mondale in 1984, Bush in 2000, Gore in 2000, Hillary Clinton in 2016, and now we see Trump in 2024.
I would like to point out that in fact, Trump is the only one with more than 50% of the vote. The rest of these people had 50% of the vote or less.
Strongest Iowa Caucus in History
Mattingly continued: “History?”
“History,” Enten replied.
Iowa is not necessarily indicative of how all the upcoming primaries and caucuses in the various states will play out.
In 2016, Ted Cruz won Iowa and lost to Donald Trump. In 2012, Rick Santorum won Iowa, only to be blown out of the water by Mitt Romney.
In 2008, future winner John McCain took last place in Iowa.
But if Donald Trump is currently ahead of all other candidates in the history of such an event, it is worth paying attention to.
2024 is just beginning.
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